Hard Spring Wheat & Durum Tour 2003


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DAY 1   2003 SPRING WHEAT CROP TOUR
29-Jul-03                          
Route Class Est. Calc. Std Hi Lo # 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996
  2003 2003 Dev     Fields              
Purple #1 HRS 45.0 40.1 12.2 58.1 25.0 9 26.4 36.9 33.6 31.1 27.5 30.0 34.0
DUR           0       30.7 15.0    
HRW                       34.0  
Green #2 HRS 42.8 40.5 10.8 60.0 15.5 12 22.4   43.6 28.4 38.3 30.6 28.9
DUR           0       17.9     32.8
HRW                          
Yellow #3 HRS   42.0 12.4 64.0 16.4 14 24.2 41.8 35.9 31.3 26.9 27.2 31.0
DUR           0       19.6      
HRW                          
Orange #4 HRS 44.9 50.2 14.4 63.6 21.7 9 28.6 28.8 29.4 25.4 35.2 33.6 31.0
DUR           0   43.4   25.6      
HRW                          
Red #5 HRS 40.9 41.2 10.5 62.1 20.5 17 26.6 35.8 36.1 34.9 31.6 34.0 37.6
DUR           0   20.0   25.0 17.6   41.8
HRW                          
Pink #6 HRS 36.2 35.6 8.8 52.0 21.2 14 35.9 38.4 40.5 24.7 33.1 34.0  
  DUR 40.0 51.0       1   16.0 30.7 18.7 31.0 24.0  
HRW                          
Blue #7 HRS 26.2 26.9 8.3 43.0 11.4 11 13.3 32.5 36.4 20.8 25.2 23.7 37.6
DUR 26.4 23.0 8.9 36.3 13.0 5   31.5 30.9 12.0 30.1 23.9 27.5
HRW                          
Black #8 HRS   27.5 9.4 42.0 14.9 12 29.8 25.9 22.7 20.1 25.6 30.9 29.0
DUR           0   31.5 22.6 22.4 27.9    
HRW 43.0 45.0       1     52.0        
Purple #9 HRS No Route           41.0 38.8 40.7 28.8 28.2 57.0
DUR                 28.0        
HRW                 35.0       65.0
Green #10 HRS No Route         35.5 36.5 39.7 37.2 30.3 31.8 44.0
DUR               28.7     14.0    
HRW                       52.3  
Yellow #11 HRS No Route           36.2 27.4 32.5 30.2 39.2 40.7
DUR                 22.4 25.7      
HRW                       43.5  
Orange #12 HRS No Route         23.9 29.4 33.7 29.0 33.0 27.0 45.2
DUR               25.0   35.5 22.3 19.0  
HRW                 60.0        
Red #13 HRS 35.2 35.1 9.6 51.9 20.0 16 35.6 43.8 35.1 26.5 42.0 33.6 41.0
DUR 23.0 17.2       1       19.2 26.0 22.6 31.0
HRW                          
Pink #14 HRS 32.0 37.9 11.5 61.0 20.0 11   37.4 44.9 26.0 30.1 32.5 29.0
DUR 29.0 29.0       2   22.7   22.6 27.9 33.0 23.0
HRW                          
 Blue #15 HRS No Route               26.0 25.9   44.0
  DUR                     22.3   45.0
HRW                          
 Black #16 HRS No Route                     26.7
  DUR                         25.2
HRW                          
         

Weighted Averages

  EST. CALC. SD Flds     2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996  
Wt. Avg. 36.9 36.9 12.3 135   Wt. Avg. 27.1 35.2 35.5 28.6 30.7 31.1 36.4  
HRS 37.6 37.5 12.0 125   HRS 27.2 35.7 35.8 29.5 31 31.2 36.5  
DUR 28.1 26.8   9   DUR 10.7 27.3 26.4 22.7 24.3 24.3 30.3  
HRW 43.0 45.0   1   HRW     49     39.6 65.0  
          Fields HRS 134 145 165 157 159 174 183  
          Fields DUR 1 10 10 23 15 8 19  
          Fields HRW     3 0 0 5 3  
          Total Fields 135 155 178 180 174 187 205  

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DAY 2 2003 SPRING WHEAT CROP TOUR
30-Jul-03                          
Route Class Est. Calc. Std Hi Lo # 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996
  2003 2003 Dev     Fields              
Purple #1 HRS   38.0 6.7 48.0 29.0 12 40.0 39.9 40.9 25.4 34.0 33.3 30.9
DUR   47.3 25.0 76.0 30.0 3 24.0 22.3 29.4 20.0 25.8 19.5 32.2
HRW                          
Green #2 HRS 32.2 31.3 8.6 43.6 15.0 9 35.1   33.0 29.4 27.7 32.6 31.5
DUR 31.7 30.4 6.6 36.8 20.0 6     24.4 25.5 26.2   18.5
HRW                          
Yellow #3 HRS 34.9 38.8 14.8 64.3 17.3 14 28.3 34.8 42.0 28.7 29.8 24.4 29.1
DUR 23.0 27.3       1   48.5 25.9 22.4 27.0 20.8 22.4
HRW                          
Orange #4 HRS 26.0 23.8 7.9 30.8 9.6 7 25.6 34.4 33.2 17.7     29.5
DUR 29.0 22.8 3.1 26.7 18.5 6 26.4 29.5 29.5 21.7 28.7 23.6 31.7
HRW 30.0 40.5       1              
Red #5 HRS 28.8 29.1 5.8 37.1 20.9 9 35.6 42.5 39.3 33.1 26.8 33.9 33.0
DUR 25.4 23.8 10.4 35.5 12.6 5 46.6 22.5 30.6 16.7 23.4 36.8 30.0
HRW                          
Pink #6 HRS 24.8 26.9 8.9 35.9 17.3 4 33.1 26.4 25.0   41.2   30.1
DUR 23.6 22.3 5.9 30.6 13.5 12 22.9 31.1 29.5 24.0 29.3 43.0 21.5
HRW                          
Blue #7 HRS 35.6 35.8 13.5 68.9 13.2 15 28.7 30.1 38.1 20.3 37.3 24.3 44.5
DUR 27.5 26.6 24.2 43.7 9.5 2   26.7 23.6 9.3 27.2 30.0  
HRW                          
Black #8 HRS 32.0 31.2 6.5 43.6 24.6 6 25.0 26.8 30.8 28.8 25.2 34.7 29.8
DUR   31.8 8.7 42.8 21.9 7 21.6 16.6 30.5 17.6 29.3 24.7 29.3
HRW                 38.2        
Purple #9 HRS No Route             30.2 32.4 27.5 28.3 27.1
DUR               31.2 28.9 20.3 23.1 29.2 24.1
HRW                          
Green #10 HRS No Route         26.4 32.3 27.2 32.0 33.3 21.0 32.9
DUR             15.8 26.6 27.1 19.3 26.1 21.0 32.4
HRW                          
Yellow #11 HRS No Route           35.0 31.8 29.9 18.2 30.6 42.6
DUR                 28.5 38.4 24.7 30.3 20.5
HRW                          
Orange #12 HRS No Route         31.7 33.8 40.7 22.8 27.8 30.5 25.4
DUR             25.4 29.5 32.8 28.2 23.0 24.7 30.5
HRW                          
Red #13 HRS 37.0 36.3 9.6 55.0 26.0 14 40.9 39.2 28.5 19.7 30.1 29.0  
  DUR 33.0 32.3 16.4 44.0 8.0 4 18.9 32.8 23.6 16.9 20.9 31.9  
HRW                          
Pink #14 HRS 29.0 29.6 12.7 47.0 13.0 5   24.2 36.3 21.3 27.0 37.0  
DUR 26.0 25.7 8.9 39.0 14.0 10   22.0 24.8 24.0 26.6 24.8 30.0
HRW                          
Blue #15 HRS No Route               28.1   19.0 27.0
DUR                   18.6   20.7 38.9
HRW                          
Black #16 HRS No Route                     33.7
DUR                         27.7
HRW                          
          Weighted Averages
  EST. CALC. CALC. SD Flds     2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996
Wt. Avg. 30.6 31.4 31.4 11.4 152 Wt. Avg. 29.9 31.2 31.6 24.9 28.0 28.3 31.1
HRS 32.6 33.7 33.7 11.0 95 HRS   32 33.3 34.9 27.5 29 29.3 33.5
DUR 27.1 27.4 27.4 11.2 56 DUR   25.5 28.2 28.2 22.5 27.2 27.5 29.1
HRW 30.0 40.5 40.5   1 HRW       38.2        
            Fields HRS 97 95 88 82 71 95 96
          Fields DUR 45 65 88 87 101 120 112
          Fields HRW 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
          Total Fields 142 160 177 169 172 215 208
                         

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DAY 3 2003 SPRING WHEAT CROP TOUR

31-Jul-03

Route Class Est. Calc. Std Hi Lo # 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996
2003 2003 Dev Fields
Purple #1 HRS 37.0 45.7 9.4 54.6 31.3 8 44.3 28.9 39.7 37.7 29.4 34.0 42.0
  DUR 40.0 52.7 11.1 60.5 44.8 2 28.0 17.4 12.6
  HRW
Green #2 HRS 37.0 38.8 7.8 54.9 26.6 9 36.7 50.5 36.4 38.8 24.2
DUR 36.0 35.2 1 22.8 27.9 44.2
HRW
Yellow #3 HRS 46.0 47.2 9.1 65.0 34.4 14 38.1 41.3 40.9 37.7 38.0 37.2 40.7
DUR 28.0 31.2 1 22.0 14.0 26.9 31.6 37.4 16.6
HRW
Orange #4 HRS 38.1 35.8 10.4 49.6 13.0 9 46.9 32.7 33.7 32.7 33.9 36.0 38.5
DUR 28.0 31.7 1 36.0 10.3 28.0
HRW
Red #5 HRS 38.0 38.9 4.7 47.5 35.0 6 37.3 35.4 43.1 37.1 46.4 37.5 38.3
DUR 0 17.0
HRW
Pink #6 HRS 36.9 45.2 14.4 67.0 25.0 10 35.9 33.0 38.2 33.0 26.2 29.6 29.5
DUR 0 25.5 12.9 35.8
HRW
Blue #7 HRS 35.6 36.7 9.6 49.6 24.8 7 40.7 33.9 34.6 27.5 47.2 19.6 41.3
DUR 0 29.7 28.9 39.0
HRW
Black #8 HRS 37.0 37.3 9.7 50.0 15.0 10 41.4 28.8 36.3 34.2 50.8 29.0 42.9
DUR 0 22.5 22.5
HRW
Purple #9 HRS No Route           21.7 29.8 37.4 50.2 36.5 30.4
DUR 31.3 23.2 29.6
HRW
Green #10 HRS No Route   0.0 0.0 0 44.3 34.6 41.3 34.6 40.6 25.0 46.7
DUR 0 34.9 25.2 18.4 31.8 17.5 40.0 38.1
HRW
Yellow #11 HRS No Route   0.0 0.0     41.2 40.6 38.1 26.8 37.3  
  DUR 0.0 0.0 49.8 16.5 26.4 41.0
HRW
Orange #12 HRS No Route           31.1 38.1 31.5 41.8 33.9 41.2
DUR 11.5 9.9 29.3
HRW
Red #13 HRS 51.4 52.0 19.5 79.9 32.3 8 41.4 40.3 47.3 43.5 32.6 36.3
  DUR 50.0 49.2 1
HRW
Pink #14 HRS 35.1 35.4 8.2 47.0 26.0 7 44.7 34.9 34.5 33.6 34.6 40.1
DUR 46.6
HRW
Blue #15 HRS No Route               29.0     38.8
DUR 25.2
HRW
Black #16 HRS No Route             28.7     35.0 41.9
DUR 20.4
HRW
         

Weighted Averages

  EST. CALC. SD Flds   2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996
Wt. Avg. 39.5 41.8 11.7 94 Wt. Avg. 39.9 34.5 36 33.3 35.9 33.5 38.6
HRS 39.6 41.8 11.8 88 HRS 40.3 35.2 38.7 35.4 37 33.3 38.9
DUR 37.0 42.1 11.6 6 DUR 28.9 29.7 17.3 25.9 26.3 39.9 35.9
HRW 0 HRW                
            Fields HRS 79 76 102 86 86 99 109
          Fields DUR 3 11 15 25 98 4 9
          Fields HRW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
          Total Fields 82 87 117 111 184 103 118
 

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July 29-31, 2003   Overall Weighted Tour Averages
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
HRS 47.0 41.3 37.0 32.2 36.4 31.3 32.5 30.5 36.4 34.9 32.0 37.6
DUR 37.6 36.0 39.4 32.7 29.7 27.7 26.8 23.2 26.6 28.3 25.4 28.6
HRW 27.5 54.0 65.0 39.6 46.3 42.8
All Wheat 44.5 40.4 37.5 32.3 34.8 30.4 30.8 28.4 34.2 33.5 31.1 35.9
Fields Surveyed                      
HRS NA 254 354 313 388 368 316 325 355 316 310 308
DUR NA 51 99 106 140 132 128 135 113 86 49 71
HRW NA 2 1 0 3 5 0 0 4 0 0 2
All NA 307 454 419 531 505 444 460 472 402 359 381
Tour Participants - Breakdown                  
Class Number Percent
Government 9 24 Total = 38
University 4 11
Media 3 8
Grain 9 24
Milling 6 16
Baker 1 3
Producer 1 3
Other 5 13

 

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2003 Hard Spring Wheat and Durum Crop Tour
July 28 - 31, 2003                                                  Summary by Ben Handcock

The tour was conducted from July 28 – 31 in North Dakota plus parts of South Dakota and Minnesota. (Tour Map) Thirty-eight people participated.

The spring wheat fields surveyed (308) averaged 37.6 bushels per acre. The durum fields (71) averaged 28.6 bushels per acre. The spring wheat potential is about five and one half bushels above last year and four bushels above the tour 5-year average. The durum potential is about three bushels above last year and two and one half bushels above the tour 5-year average. (Tour Results)

The average for all spring and durum fields was 35.9 compared to the 5-year tour average of 31.6.

Day one covered the south half of the state with yields ranging from a high of 64 bushels per acre in the valley to a low of 11 bushels in the far west.

Day two covered the northwest and north central parts of the state with a high yield of 76 bushels per acre and a low of eight bushels per acre.

Day three covered the northeast and north central area with a high yield of 80 bushels per acre and a low of 13.

I would expect the quality of this crop to be very good. The plumpness of the kernels would indicate a high test weight potential. Protein content is impossible to estimate until harvest, but higher than average yields can often result in slightly lower protein.

The most significant observations of the crop would likely be the low to complete absence of scab in most areas, plus the extreme differences in maturity of fields in the same area.

It is obvious that some wheat was planted early, rains came, and some wheat was planted three to four weeks later. This will cause some headaches for harvest crews as they will have to wait for the second planting of wheat to ripen.

The tour does not estimate abandoned acres, but I would expect abandonment to be very low this year.

Our results should not be viewed as being official. The North Dakota Agricultural Statistics Service will be giving monthly updates of the official data.
 

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