Hard Spring Wheat Quality Tour 2007

DAY 1 2007 SPRING WHEAT CROP TOUR
24-Jul-07                                
Route Class Est. Calc.     Std Hi Lo # 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000
    2007 2007     Dev     Fields              
Purple #1 HRS 40.0 37.5     9.8 54.0 19.0 14 25.0 41.7 44.3 40.1 26.4 36.9 33.6
  DUR                              
  HRW                              
Green #2 HRS 50.7 49.1     9.5 73.0 34.0 15 25.7 36.7 38.6 40.5 22.4   43.6
  DUR                              
  HRW                     39.1        
Yellow #3 HRS   44.0     11.6 61.0 22.0 12 38.3 36.6 49.2 42.0 24.2 41.8 35.9
  DUR                              
  HRW                              
Orange #4 HRS 38.3 33.5     6.5 46.0 25.3 8 38.3 42.7 37.9 50.2 28.6 28.8 29.4
  DUR                           43.4  
  HRW 41.5 37.4       40.4 34.3 2              
Red #5 HRS 46.7 39.5     8.5 50.0 23.0 13 37.8 31.9 42.9 41.2 26.6 35.8 36.1
  DUR                   29.2       20.0  
  HRW                              
Pink #6 HRS 25.0 19.8     9.3 31.6 0.0 15 27.4 42.7 48.3 35.6 35.9 38.4 40.5
  DUR                 17.4     51.0   16.0 30.7
  HRW                              
Blue #7 HRS   45.2     11.9 63.6 28.0 9 17.9 31.8 25.7 26.9 13.3 32.5 36.4
  DUR   36.7           1     25.4 23.0   31.5 30.9
  HRW                   21.4          
Black #8 HRS 31.0 28.2     9.2 40.4 8.6 12 29.3 29.7 26.4 27.5 29.8 25.9 22.7
  DUR                 24.5 24.2 18.0     31.5 22.6
  HRW   38.3       49.7 23.9 3       45.0     52.0
Purple #9 HRS No Route                         41.0 38.8
  DUR                             28.0
  HRW                             35.0
Green #10 HRS No Route                       35.5 36.5 39.7
  DUR                           28.7  
  HRW                              
Yellow #11 HRS 38.1 35.2     5.0 41.6 27.7 12     26.1     36.2 27.4
  DUR                             22.4
  HRW                              
Orange #12 HRS 38.0 31.5     8.7 50.0 23.0 13 35.9       23.9 29.4 33.7
  DUR                           25.0  
  HRW                             60.0
Red #13 HRS No Route                     35.1 35.6 43.8 35.1
  DUR                       17.2      
  HRW                              
Pink #14 HRS 35.6 36.5     14.0 57.4 0.0 13       37.9   37.4 44.9
  DUR                       29.0   22.7  
  HRW                              
 Blue #15 HRS No Route                            
  DUR                              
  HRW                              
 Black #16 HRS No Route                            
  DUR                              
  HRW                              
                             
  EST. CALC. SD Flds   Weighted Averages
Wt. Avg. 28.2 36.2 12.5 142       2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000
HRS 38.2 36.2 12.6 136   Wt. Avg. 31.1 36.4 37.4 36.9 27.1 35.2 35.5
DUR   36.7   1   HRS 31.2 36.8 37.8 37.5 27.2 35.7 35.8
HRW 41.5 37.9   5   DUR 28.5 26.7 20.5 26.8 10.7 27.3 26.4
            HRW   21.4 38.5 45     49
            Fields HRS 106 100 118 125 134 145 165
            Fields DUR 2 2 3 9 1 10 10
            Fields HRW   1 3 1     3
            Total Fields 108 103 124 135 135 155 178
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DAY 2 2007 SPRING WHEAT CROP TOUR
25-Jul-07                                
Route Class Est. Calc.     Std Hi Lo # 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000
    2007 2007     Dev     Fields              
Purple #1 HRS 37.0 35.4     11.6 57.0 18.0 13 29.8 30.8 35.4 38.0 40.0 39.9 40.9
  DUR 32.0 28.0           1   35.2 44.0 47.3 24.0 22.3 29.4
  HRW                              
Green #2 HRS 39.4 34.1     5.9 43.0 23.5 11 25.9 29.7 37.4 31.3 35.1   33.0
  DUR 22.0 25.0           1 15.1 17.7   30.4     24.4
  HRW                              
Yellow #3 HRS 39.6 39.9     6.8 54.7 31.2 13 31.7 41.4 36.4 38.8 28.3 34.8 42.0
  DUR                   13.7   27.3   48.5 25.9
  HRW                              
Orange #4 HRS 35.0 34.3     7.2 44.7 25.7 8 35.2 33.8 34.6 23.8 25.6 34.4 33.2
  DUR 37.0 34.9     4.5 40.0 29.0 4 29.6 32.0 29.1 22.8 26.4 29.5 29.5
  HRW                       40.5      
Red #5 HRS 41.3 39.6     8.8 52.0 24.5 12 28.2 30.8 36.9 29.1 35.6 42.5 39.3
  DUR                 34.0 34.7 34.2 23.8 46.6 22.5 30.6
  HRW                              
Pink #6 HRS 34.8 34.2     9.0 41.1 21.0 4 27.6 37.4 27.0 26.9 33.1 26.4 25.0
  DUR 26.8 28.3     10.2 56.8 20.3 12 20.8 27.4 31.4 22.3 22.9 31.1 29.5
  HRW 41.0 35.8       42.6 29.1 2              
Blue #7 HRS 34.0 36.2     7.5 46.0 27.0 13 30.0 31.4 33.9 35.8 28.7 30.1 38.1
  DUR                 7.0 38.0   26.6   26.7 23.6
  HRW                              
Black #8 HRS 33.5 36.2     6.8 49.6 24.8 12 30.4 29.7 33.9 31.2 25.0 26.8 30.8
  DUR 21.0 22.9     16.9 34.8 10.9 2 20.3 27.4 39.0 31.8 21.6 16.6 30.5
  HRW                   40.6         38.2
Purple #9 HRS No Route                           30.2
  DUR                           31.2 28.9
  HRW                              
Green #10 HRS No Route                       26.4 32.3 27.2
  DUR                         15.8 26.6 27.1
  HRW                              
Yellow #11 HRS No Route         0.0 0.0 0     36.1     35.0 31.8
  DUR           0.0 0.0 0     13.4       28.5
  HRW                              
Orange #12 HRS 29.0 29.1     16.1 46.0 13.9 3 25.4       31.7 33.8 40.7
  DUR 29.8 29.4     7.2 40.3 20.8 10 28.5       25.4 29.5 32.8
  HRW                 45.0            
Red #13 HRS No Route                     36.3 40.9 39.2 28.5
  DUR                       32.3 18.9 32.8 23.6
  HRW                              
Pink #14 HRS 27.8 26.6     5.6 33.2 17.9 6       29.6   24.2 36.3
  DUR 31.3 27.8     3.0 32.7 24.4 7       25.7   22.0 24.8
  HRW 30.0 32.3           1              
Blue #15 HRS No Route                            
  DUR                              
  HRW                              
Black #16 HRS No Route                            
  DUR                              
  HRW                              
                             
  EST. CALC. SD Flds   Weighted Averages
Wt. Avg. 34.3 33.8 8.9 135       2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000
HRS 36.2 35.7 8.6 95   Wt. Avg. 28.8 32 34.2 31.4 29.9 31.2 31.6
DUR 29.3 28.8 7.9 37   HRS 29.5 32.6 34.9 33.7 32 33.3 34.9
HRW 37.3 34.7   3   DUR 23.5 29.8 30.8 27.4 25.5 28.2 28.2
            HRW 45 40.6   40.5     38.2
            Fields HRS 104 82 103 95 97 95 88
            Fields DUR 17 25 22 56 45 65 88
            Fields HRW 1 1   1 0 0 1
            Total Fields 122 108 125 152 142 160 177
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DAY 3 2007 SPRING WHEAT CROP TOUR
26-Jul-07                                
Route Class Est. Calc.     Std Hi Lo # 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000
    2007 2007     Dev     Fields              
Purple #1 HRS 39.4 45.1     8.1 53.7 33.7 7 41.6 46.8 48.1 45.7 44.3 28.9 39.7
  DUR                       52.7     28.0
  HRW                 45.5            
Green #2 HRS 38.8 42.1     4.8 48.2 34.4 8 39.2 35.5 51.3 38.8 36.7   50.5
  DUR                       35.2      
  HRW                              
Yellow #3 HRS 39.1 46.3     9.9 67.2 31.6 12 34.6 38.3 42.8 47.2 38.1 41.3 40.9
  DUR                       31.2 22.0   14.0
  HRW                              
Orange #4 HRS 32.0 32.6     10.0 45.8 23.5 4 34.9   42.7 35.8 46.9 32.7 33.7
  DUR                     46.8 31.7   36.0 10.3
  HRW                              
Red #5 HRS 52.5 52.5     3.5 55.0 50.0 2 43.9 36.6 50.7 38.9 37.3 35.4 43.1
  DUR                           17.0  
  HRW                              
Pink #6 HRS 42.0 45.0     5.6 50.0 39.0 3 32.2 37.1 42.2 45.2 35.9 33.0 38.2
  DUR                     18.6       25.5
  HRW                              
Blue #7 HRS 35.2 40.5     4.9 45.3 33.4 6 39.3 35.0 41.5 36.7 40.7 33.9 34.6
  DUR                         29.7    
  HRW                              
Black #8 HRS 40.3 43.7     14.1 63.7 22.5 6 31.2 29.4 42.7 37.3 41.4 28.8 36.3
  DUR                             22.5
  HRW                              
Purple #9 HRS No Route                         21.7 29.8
  DUR                           31.3  
  HRW                              
Green #10 HRS No Route                       44.3 34.6 41.3
  DUR                         34.9 25.2 18.4
  HRW                              
Yellow #11 HRS No Route                   41.6     41.2 40.6
  DUR                           49.8  
  HRW                              
Orange #12 HRS No Route                         31.1 38.1
  DUR                           11.5 9.9
  HRW                              
Red #13 HRS No Route                     52.0 41.4 40.3 47.3
  DUR                       49.2      
  HRW                              
Pink #14 HRS   37.1     9.5 51.0 26.0 7       35.4   44.7 34.9
  DUR                              
  HRW                              
Blue #15 HRS No Route                            
  DUR                              
  HRW                              
Black #16 HRS No Route                           28.7
  DUR                             20.4
  HRW                              
                             
  EST. CALC. SD Flds   Weighted Averages
Wt. Avg. 34.9 42.6 9.4 55       2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000
HRS 38.9 42.6 9.4 55   Wt. Avg. 37 37.1 44.5 41.8 39.9 34.5 36
DUR       0   HRS 36.7 37.1 44.8 41.8 40.3 35.2 38.7
HRW           DUR     32.7 42.1 28.9 29.7 17.3
            HRW 45.5            
            Fields HRS 62 66 84 88 79 76 102
            Fields DUR 0 0 2 6 3 11 15
            Fields HRW 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
            Total Fields 64 66 86 94 82 87 117
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2007 Spring Wheat Crop Tour
Yield Potential
Weighted Averages   Standard Deviation Total Fields
                 
Total 36.3   11.1       332  
                 
HRS 37.3   11.1       286  
                 
DUR 29.0   7.9       38  
                 
HRW 36.7           8  
                             
Overall Weighted Tour Averages
July 24-26, 2007                          
  1994 1995 ### 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
HRS 37.0 32.2 36.4 31.3 32.5 30.5 36.4 34.9 32.0 37.6 38.8 35.5 31.7 37.3
DUR 39.4 32.7 29.7 27.7 26.8 23.2 26.6 28.3 25.4 28.6 29.8 29.6 23.3 29.0
HRW 54.0   65.0 39.6     46.3     42.8 38.5 31.0 45.3 36.7
All Wheat 37.5 32.3 34.8 30.4 30.8 28.4 34.2 33.5 31.1 35.9 38.1 34.9 31.3 36.3
                             
Fields Surveyed
HRS 254 354 313 388 368 316 325 355 316 310 308 305 272 286
DUR 51 99 106 140 132 128 135 113 86 49 71 27 19 38
HRW 2 1 0 3 5 0 0 4 0 0 2 3 3 8
All 307 454 419 531 505 444 460 472 402 359 381 335 294 332
         
Tour Participants - Breakdown  
Class Number Percent
Government 9   22
University 2   5
Media 2   5
Grain 5   12
Milling 9   22
Baker 4   10
Producer 1   2
Other 9   22
Total       41
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2007 Wheat Quality Council
Hard Spring Wheat & Durum Tour Completed

Summary by Ben Handcock, Executive Vice President

The Wheat Quality Council hard spring wheat and durum tour was conducted July 23-26 in North Dakota plus parts of South Dakota and Minnesota. (Tour map) There were 40 participants this year, one-half of them newcomers. 

The 286 spring wheat fields surveyed averaged 37.3 bushels per acre, up from 31.7 in 2006.  The 38 durum fields averaged 29 bushels, up from 23.3 a year ago.  The 8 hard winter fields we evaluated were listed at 36.7 bushels, down from 45.3 last year.

 The average for all 332 field stops was 36.3 bushels per acre compared to 31.3 last year and the tour five-year average of 34.26 bushels. (Tour results)

  Day one covered the southern half of North Dakota, southwestern Minnesota and northeast/north central South Dakota. Yields were good on all routes and improvement from last year was particularly apparent in the far southwestern routes.  Where we saw wheat rolled into bales a year ago, we saw some fields with potential to reach 60 bushels plus this year. The high yield for the day was 73 bushels; the low was 0 (complete hail destruction) with a day one average of 36.2 bushels compared to 31.1 in 2006. 

Day two covered the northwest and north central parts of North Dakota.  We saw more durum fields this year, possibly just due to our random stops, but nice to see none the less. Once again, the yields were good in all areas.  We had a high for the day of 57 bushels, a low of 10.9 and an overall day two average of 33.8 compared to 28.8 bushels last year.

Day three concluded the tour by covering northeast/north central North Dakota and northwest/west central Minnesota.  As usual, this was the highest yielding area with an average of 42.6 bushels per acre.  We had a high yield of 67.2 and a low of 22.5 bushels.  This part of the tour averaged 37 bushels one year ago.

 This will be a very nice crop in my view.  It was extremely wet in the spring and is extremely dry in most areas right now.  We saw very little incidence of scab, which should make everybody happy. We did see some root rot problems and some heat stress (which might increase the protein), but most heads I examined had nice plump kernels.

 The biggest issue in most fields was stem maggot.  It appeared to be almost everywhere and seems to be getting worse each year.  I believe NDSU is working to build some resistance into their varieties, but this will probably take some time.

 I don’t believe any of the problems we encountered are severe enough to have much negative influence on this crop.  The biggest issue may be getting it harvested in a timely fashion so we don’t have problems similar to those in the southern plains area. Some areas in the northeast had 4-6 inches of rain while we were in the state.  We saw nearly ripe fields standing in water.  It will take some time to get dry enough to put a combine in those fields.

 Over all, this is a crop with very nice potential.  The best we have seen in several years, with no apparent serious problems.  The good thing for producers is—it’s finally worth something.

 Our results are not official.  The North Dakota Ag Statistics Service will publish official projections on August 10.  Watch for them to see how we compare.

 Thanks to all of you who came, drove cars or helped in any way to make this tour a success.  The first timers said they learned a great deal, had a lot of fun and they can’t wait to do it again.