Hard Spring and Durum Tour Results 2005
Summary
DAY 1 2005 SPRING WHEAT CROP TOUR
26-Jul-05
Route Class Est. Calc.     Std Hi Lo # 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998
    2005 2005     Dev     Fields              
Purple #1 HRS 41.0 41.7     8.1 56.0 31.0 12 44.3 40.1 26.4 36.9 33.6 31.1 27.5
  DUR                           30.7 15.0
  HRW                              
Green #2 HRS 39.0 36.7     9.7 54.0 21.0 16 38.6 40.5 22.4   43.6 28.4 38.3
  DUR                           17.9  
  HRW                 39.1            
Yellow #3 HRS 36.8 36.6     13.9 65.7 17.4 12 49.2 42.0 24.2 41.8 35.9 31.3 26.9
  DUR                           19.6  
  HRW                              
Orange #4 HRS 50.5 42.7     9.2 59.0 28.0 11 37.9 50.2 28.6 28.8 29.4 25.4 35.2
  DUR                       43.4   25.6  
  HRW                              
Red #5 HRS 32.5 31.9     7.4 41.6 18.6 15 42.9 41.2 26.6 35.8 36.1 34.9 31.6
  DUR 24.0 29.2           1       20.0   25.0 17.6
  HRW                              
Pink #6 HRS 46.3 42.7     11.6 59.3 18.4 13 48.3 35.6 35.9 38.4 40.5 24.7 33.1
  DUR                   51.0   16.0 30.7 18.7 31.0
  HRW                              
Blue #7 HRS 32.7 31.8     8.4 43.2 19.6 12 25.7 26.9 13.3 32.5 36.4 20.8 25.2
  DUR                 25.4 23.0   31.5 30.9 12.0 30.1
  HRW 27.0 21.4           1              
Black #8 HRS 34.9 29.7     7.5 42.6 20.0 9 26.4 27.5 29.8 25.9 22.7 20.1 25.6
  DUR 29.0 24.2     3.5 24.2 24.2 1 18.0     31.5 22.6 22.4 27.9
  HRW                   45.0     52.0    
Purple #9 HRS No Route                   41.0 38.8 40.7 28.8
  DUR                         28.0    
  HRW                         35.0    
Green #10 HRS No Route                 35.5 36.5 39.7 37.2 30.3
  DUR                       28.7     14.0
  HRW                              
Yellow #11 HRS No Route             26.1     36.2 27.4 32.5 30.2
  DUR                         22.4 25.7  
  HRW                              
Orange #12 HRS No Route                 23.9 29.4 33.7 29.0 33.0
  DUR                       25.0   35.5 22.3
  HRW                         60.0    
Red #13 HRS No Route       0.0 0.0 0   35.1 35.6 43.8 35.1 26.5 42.0
  DUR               0   17.2       19.2 26.0
  HRW                              
Pink #14 HRS No Route       0.0 0.0 0   37.9   37.4 44.9 26.0 30.1
  DUR               0   29.0   22.7   22.6 27.9
  HRW                              
 Blue #15 HRS No Route                       26.0 25.9
  DUR                             22.3
  HRW                              
 Black #16 HRS No Route                          
  DUR                              
  HRW                              
                               
  EST. CALC.   SD  Flds        

Weighted Averages
Wt. Avg. 38.7 36.4   10.5 103         2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998
HRS 39.1 36.8   10.5 100     Wt. Avg. 37.4 36.9 27.1 35.2 35.5 28.6 30.7
DUR 26.5 26.7 3.5 2   HRS   37.8 37.5 27.2 35.7 35.8 29.5 31
HRW 27.0 21.4     1   DUR   20.5 26.8 10.7 27.3 26.4 22.7 24.3
                HRW   38.5 45     49    
                Fields HRS 118 125 134 145 165 157 159
              Fields DUR 3 9 1 10 10 23 15
              Fields HRW 3 1     3 0 0
              Total Fields 124 135 135 155 178 180 174
                               
DAY 2

2005 SPRING WHEAT CROP TOUR
27-Jul-05
Route Class Est. Calc.     Std Hi Lo # 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998
    2005 2005     Dev     Fields              
Purple #1 HRS 36.1 30.8     15.5 51.6 10.8 9 35.4 38.0 40.0 39.9 40.9 25.4 34.0
DUR 36.2 35.2     15.2 50.0 14.0 5 44.0 47.3 24.0 22.3 29.4 20.0 25.8
HRW                              
Green #2 HRS 30.9 29.7     9.9 51.7 16.0 14 37.4 31.3 35.1   33.0 29.4 27.7
DUR 24.0 17.7       17.7 17.7 1   30.4     24.4 25.5 26.2
HRW                              
Yellow #3 HRS 41.1 41.4     18.6 74.9 11.3 11 36.4 38.8 28.3 34.8 42.0 28.7 29.8
DUR 20.5 13.7     3.7 16.3 11.1 2   27.3   48.5 25.9 22.4 27.0
HRW                              
Orange #4 HRS 39.4 33.8     8.6 49.7 21.7 10 34.6 23.8 25.6 34.4 33.2 17.7  
DUR 32.5 32.0     16.1 51.5 12.0 4 29.1 22.8 26.4 29.5 29.5 21.7 28.7
HRW                   40.5          
Red #5 HRS 30.0 30.8     11.9 47.3 9.9 9 36.9 29.1 35.6 42.5 39.3 33.1 26.8
DUR   34.7       53.0 22.8 4 34.2 23.8 46.6 22.5 30.6 16.7 23.4
HRW                              
Pink #6 HRS 40.7 37.4     14.2 52.8 18.7 4 27.0 26.9 33.1 26.4 25.0   41.2
DUR 30.6 27.4     9.2 39.5 11.4 7 31.4 22.3 22.9 31.1 29.5 24.0 29.3
HRW                              
Blue #7 HRS 33.0 31.4     8.6 50.0 19.0 11 33.9 35.8 28.7 30.1 38.1 20.3 37.3
DUR 38.0 38.0           1   26.6   26.7 23.6 9.3 27.2
HRW                              
Black #8 HRS 32.8 29.7     4.9 36.4 19.7 14 33.9 31.2 25.0 26.8 30.8 28.8 25.2
DUR 29.5 27.4           1 39.0 31.8 21.6 16.6 30.5 17.6 29.3
HRW 40.5 40.6           1         38.2    
Purple #9 HRS No Route                     30.2 32.4 27.5
DUR                       31.2 28.9 20.3 23.1
HRW                              
Green #10 HRS No Route                 26.4 32.3 27.2 32.0 33.3
DUR                     15.8 26.6 27.1 19.3 26.1
HRW                              
Yellow #11 HRS No Route       0.0 0.0 0 36.1     35.0 31.8 29.9 18.2
DUR           0.0 0.0 0 13.4       28.5 38.4 24.7
HRW                              
Orange #12 HRS No Route                 31.7 33.8 40.7 22.8 27.8
DUR                     25.4 29.5 32.8 28.2 23.0
HRW                              
Red #13 HRS No Route               36.3 40.9 39.2 28.5 19.7 30.1
  DUR                   32.3 18.9 32.8 23.6 16.9 20.9
HRW                              
Pink #14 HRS No Route               29.6   24.2 36.3 21.3 27.0
DUR                   25.7   22.0 24.8 24.0 26.6
HRW                              
Blue #15 HRS No Route                       28.1  
DUR                           18.6  
HRW                              
Black #16 HRS No Route                          
DUR                              
HRW              
                                 
  EST. CALC.   SD Flds         Weighted Averages
Wt. Avg. 34.5 32.0   12.0 108         2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998
HRS 35.3 32.6   11.8 82     Wt. Avg. 34.2 31.4 29.9 31.2 31.6 24.9 28.0
DUR 31.3 29.8   12.5 25     HRS   34.9 33.7 32 33.3 34.9 27.5 29
HRW 40.5 40.6     1     DUR   30.8 27.4 25.5 28.2 28.2 22.5 27.2
                HRW     40.5     38.2    
                Fields HRS 103 95 97 95 88 82 71
Fields DUR 22 56 45 65 88 87 101
                Fields HRW   1 0 0 1 0 0
              Total Fields 125 152 142 160 177 169 172
                               
DAY 3 2005 SPRING WHEAT CROP TOUR
28-Jul-05
Route Class Est. Calc.     Std Hi Lo # 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998
    2005 2005     Dev     Fields              
Purple #1 HRS 41.0 46.8     11.1 56.0 23.0 8 48.1 45.7 44.3 28.9 39.7 37.7 29.4
  DUR                   52.7     28.0 17.4 12.6
  HRW                              
Green #2 HRS 41.2 35.5     8.8 44.7 22.5 5 51.3 38.8 36.7   50.5 36.4 38.8
DUR                   35.2       22.8 27.9
HRW                              
Yellow #3 HRS 40.2 38.3     11.1 56.7 23.6 10 42.8 47.2 38.1 41.3 40.9 37.7 38.0
DUR                   31.2 22.0   14.0 26.9 31.6
HRW                              
Orange #4 HRS 37.1 37.9     14.1 62.9 13.3 13 42.7 35.8 46.9 32.7 33.7 32.7 33.9
DUR                 46.8 31.7   36.0 10.3 28.0  
HRW                              
Red #5 HRS 34.6 36.6     9.5 47.2 21.4 7 50.7 38.9 37.3 35.4 43.1 37.1 46.4
DUR                       17.0      
HRW                              
Pink #6 HRS 41.1 37.1     6.3 45.1 29.4 7 42.2 45.2 35.9 33.0 38.2 33.0 26.2
DUR                 18.6       25.5 12.9  
HRW                              
Blue #7 HRS 32.8 35.0     4.7 40.4 28.6 6 41.5 36.7 40.7 33.9 34.6 27.5 47.2
DUR                     29.7     28.9 39.0
HRW                              
Black #8 HRS 28.9 29.4     9.0 46.0 16.4 10 42.7 37.3 41.4 28.8 36.3 34.2 50.8
DUR                         22.5 22.5  
HRW                              
Purple #9 HRS No Route                   21.7 29.8 37.4 50.2
DUR                       31.3   23.2 29.6
HRW                              
Green #10 HRS No Route                 44.3 34.6 41.3 34.6 40.6
DUR                     34.9 25.2 18.4 31.8 17.5
HRW                              
Yellow #11 HRS No Route             41.6     41.2 40.6 38.1 26.8
  DUR                       49.8   16.5 26.4
HRW                              
Orange #12 HRS No Route                   31.1 38.1 31.5 41.8
DUR                       11.5 9.9   29.3
HRW                              
Red #13 HRS No Route               52.0 41.4 40.3 47.3 43.5 32.6
  DUR                   49.2          
HRW                              
Pink #14 HRS No Route               35.4   44.7 34.9 34.5 33.6
DUR                           46.6  
HRW                              
Blue #15 HRS No Route                       29.0  
DUR                           25.2  
HRW                              
Black #16 HRS No Route                     28.7    
DUR                         20.4    
HRW                              
                                 
  EST. CALC.     SD Flds       Weighted Averages
Wt. Avg. 36.9 37.1     10.9 66       2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998
HRS 36.9 37.1     10.9 66   Wt. Avg. 44.5 41.8 39.9 34.5 36 33.3 35.9
DUR           0   HRS   44.8 41.8 40.3 35.2 38.7 35.4 37
HRW           0   DUR   32.7 42.1 28.9 29.7 17.3 25.9 26.3
                HRW                
                Fields HRS 84 88 79 76 102 86 86
Fields DUR 2 6 3 11 15 25 98
                Fields HRW 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
              Total Fields 86 94 82 87 117 111 184

 

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2005 Wheat Quality Council
Hard Spring Wheat & Durum Tour Completed

Summary by Ben Handcock

The Wheat Quality Council Tour was conducted on July 25-28 in North Dakota plus parts of South Dakota and Minnesota. (Tour Map)  There were 36 participants this year.

The 277 spring wheat fields surveyed averaged 35.5 bushels per acre.  The 27 durum fields averaged 29.6 bushels per acre.  The spring wheat potential is 3.3 bushels below last year and about one-half bushel below the tour 5-year average.  The durum potential is almost identical to last year and about 2 bushels per acre above the tour 5-year average.

The average for all fields surveyed was 34.9 bushels per acre compared to the tour 5-year average of 34.6 bushels. (Tour Results)

Day one covered the southern half of North Dakota plus the northern tier of counties in South Dakota.  Projected yields ranged from 17.4 to 65.7 bushels per acre.

Day two covered the northwest and north central parts of North Dakota with projected yields of 9.9 to 74.9 bushels per acre.

Day three covered the northeast and north central parts of North Dakota plus the western tier of counties in Minnesota.  Yields ranged from 13.3 to 62.9 bushels per acre.

I believe the quality of this crop is still very much “up in the air.”  We saw scab levels ranging from minimal to very severe on most of the routes in most of the state.  Moisture received this year was more than adequate to produce a great crop.  The problem was that some of it simply came at the worst possible time.

Producers indicated that when the time to apply fungicide was imminent, it kept raining and they were not able to get into the fields to make their applications.  Many went ahead and applied the fungicide when they could get in, but in some cases it appeared to have been too late.

I also think another factor is influencing the level of scab this year.  There seemed to be fewer acres planted to resistant varieties (mainly Alsen).  Producers got by without much scab for the past couple of years and appeared to have switched to slightly higher yielding varieties without much or any scab resistance.  This may trigger a resurgence of Alsen in 2006.

I don’t think anybody can predict what will happen when the combines hit the fields.  A lot of the scabby kernels will be light weight and go out the back of the combine.  It would seem inevitable that some portion of the scabby kernels will get into the grain tank and cause potential problems with the quality of this crop.  We may also see some areas with reduced test weight levels.

This will all come to light over the next month or so as the crop is harvested.  We can only hope for the best.  At the very least, the scab will cause some yield loss for the producers.

Our results should not be viewed as official.  The North Dakota Agricultural Statistics Service will release their official crop estimate on August 12.

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