Hard Spring Wheat Quality Tour 2010

DAY 1 2010 SPRING WHEAT CROP TOUR
24-Jul-07                                
Route Class Est. Calc.     Std Hi Lo # 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003
    2010 2010     Dev     Fields              
Purple #1 HRS 47.7 45.4     10.2 64.2 32.0 9 45.5 49.4 37.5 25 41.7 44.3 40.1
  DUR                              
  HRW 47.0 38.1     11.7 46.4 29.8 2 59.5 69.8          
Green #2 HRS   44.4     8.1 58.4 31.3 12 41.2 43.5 49.1 25.7 36.7 38.6 40.5
  DUR                              
  HRW                 38.9 39.5       39.1  
Yellow #3 HRS

46.0

43.0     7.3 54.0 29.0 11 44.8 44.6 44. 38.3 36.6 49.2 42.0
  DUR                              
  HRW                 50.0 47.0          
Orange #4 HRS 51.5 43.9     6.8 51.0 30.0 10 .39.7 43.2 33.5 38.3 42.7 37.9 50.2
  DUR                              
  HRW                    

37.4

       
Red #5 HRS   50.5     17.2 80.0 19.0 12 49.7 44.5 39.5 37.8 31.9 42.9 41.2
  DUR                        

29.2

   
  HRW                              
Pink #6 HRS 34 32.9     10.9 45.2 19.7 9 44.3 42.0 19.8 27.4 42.7 48.3 35.6
  DUR                       17.4     51.0
  HRW                  

54.0

         
Blue #7 HRS

36.8

36.1     6.7 50.6 28.0 10 48.4 22.1 45.2 17.9 31.8 25.7 26.9
  DUR   36.7           1  

19.4

36.7     25.4 23.0
  HRW                

51.4

     

21.4

   
Black #8 HRS 43.5 43.5     5.4 54.0 36.2 14 45.1 17.5 28.2 29.3 29.7 26.4 27.5
  DUR

43.5

32.1    

8.9

38.4 25.8 2       24.5 24.2 18.0  
  HRW                 67.0 13.3 38.3       45.0
Purple #9 HRS No Route         0.0 0.0 0              
  DUR                              
  HRW                              
Green #10 HRS 36.0 37.9     13.3 64.0 22.5 11 49.2            
  DUR                              
  HRW                 43.5            
Yellow #11 HRS 35.7 38.6     9.9 57.0 18.3 11 55.4 29.5 35.2     26.1  
  DUR                              
  HRW               1 72.0 25.6          
Orange #12 HRS No Route         0.0 0.0 0   41.1 31.5 35.9      
  DUR                   43.0          
  HRW                   51.0          
Red #13 HRS 52.3 55.9     13.2 77.7 36.8 10 40.4           35.1
  DUR                 23.8           17.2
  HRW                              
Pink #14 HRS 42.0 43.7     11.1 62.7 20.4 12 45.0 29.3 36.5       37.9
  DUR                             29.0
  HRW                   26.3          
 Blue #15 HRS No Route         0.0 0.0 0 45.9            
  DUR                 44.0            
  HRW                              
 Black #16 HRS No Route         0.0 0.0 0 42.9            
  DUR                 54.6            
  HRW                 60.4            
                             
  EST. CALC. SD Flds   Weighted Averages
Wt. Avg. 42.4 42.7 11.7 137       2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003
HRS 42.5 43.1 11.6 131   Wt. Avg. 45.9 38.2 36.2 31.1 36.4 37.4 36.9
DUR 37.7 30.6 6.8 3   HRS 46.5 37.6 36.2 31.2 36.8 37.8 37.5
HRW 44.0 37.4   3   DUR 44.2 27.4 36.7 28.5 26.7 20.5 26.8
            HRW 50 45.9 37.9   21.4 38.5 45
            Fields HRS 164 129 136 106 100 118 125
            Fields DUR 5 3 1 2 2 3 9
            Fields HRW 15 14 5   1 3 1
            Total Fields 184 146 142 108 103 124 135
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DAY 2 2010 SPRING WHEAT CROP TOUR
28-Jul-10                                
Route Class Est. Calc.     Std Hi Lo # 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003
    2010 2010     Dev     Fields              
Purple #1 HRS 44.2 44.6     14.2 64.4 20.1 11 45.3 42.3 35.4 29.8 30.8 35.4 38.0
  DUR 39.5 39.5             39.6 25.0 28.0   35.2 44.0 47.3
  HRW                 45.5            
Green #2 HRS 42.4 46.1     9.5 60.9 34.7 11 40.5 38.4 34.1 25.9 29.7 37.4 31.3
  DUR 39.0 36.5           1 44.6   25.0 15.1 17.7   30.4
  HRW                 51.3  47.9          
Yellow #3 HRS 48.0 47.9     8.8 60.8 35.6 11 46.0 44.4 39.9 31.7 41.4 36.4 38.8
  DUR   53.1           1         13.7   27.3
  HRW                 75.0            
Orange #4 HRS 44.0 42.0     6.8 49.8 37.4 3 45.4 29.3 34.3 35.2 33.8 34.6 23.8
  DUR 37.5 37.6     6.9 50.9 32.1 6 34.0 20.3 34.9 29.6 32.0 29.1 22.8
  HRW 52.0 57.8                         40.5
Red #5 HRS 44.0 50.2     7.9 61.9 41.1 9 44.6 38.6 39.6 28.2 30.8 36.9 29.1
  DUR 35.0 36.5     10.7 44.0 28.9 2 48.0 42.3   34.0 34.7 34.2 23.8
  HRW                              
Pink #6 HRS 36.7 34.0     9.0 51.7 29.3 6 32.0 25.2 34.2 27.6 37.4 27.0 26.9
Modified DUR 36.4 37.4     4.3 42.2 30.9 7 37.6 15.2 28.3 20.8 27.4 31.4 22.3
 Durum HRW                   24.2 35.8        
Blue #7 HRS 45.0 46.5     12.1 73.0 32.0 12 46.6 33.1 36.2 30.0 31.4 33.9 35.8
  DUR 34.0 42.0           1 33.5     7.0 38.0   26.6
  HRW                 86.1            
Black #8 HRS 48.7 52.5     8.4 59.0 37.2 6 48.1 30.4 36.2 30.4 29.7 33.9 31.2
  DUR 41.7 39.5     4.1 42.0 34.8 3   24.9 22.9 20.3 27.4 39.0 31.8
  HRW                         40.6    
Purple #9 HRS No Route         0.0 0.0 0              
  DUR                              
  HRW                              
Green #10 HRS 49.1 47.8     8.7 63.0 31.0 13 41.6            
  DUR                              
  HRW                              
Yellow #11 HRS 43.9 47.1     10.9 65.8 31.6 15 46.7 34.1       36.1  
  DUR                 30.5         13.4  
  HRW                              
Orange #12 HRS No Route         0.0 0.0 0   19.3 29.1 25.4      
  DUR           0.0 0.0 0   25.7 29.4 28.5      
  HRW                       45.0       
Red #13 HRS 42.1 43.5     12.8 58.0 17.0 10 43.4           36.3
  DUR                1   21.5         32.3
  HRW                              
Pink #14 HRS   48.4     9.2 58.4 40.2 3 27.0 32.7 26.6       29.6
Modified DUR   40.4     17.5 87.2 23.4 12 29.1 31.1 27.8       25.7
 Durum HRW                     32.3        
Blue #15 HRS No Route         0.0 0.0 0 52.9 23.4          
  DUR                   24.1          
  HRW                              
Black #16 HRS No Route         0.0 0.0 0 37.8            
  DUR           0.0  0.0 0 34.0 13.4          
  HRW                              
                             
  EST. CALC. SD Flds   Weighted Averages
Wt. Avg. 43.2 44.6 11.2 147       2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003
HRS 44.5 46.3 10.7 110   Wt. Avg. 43.5 31.2 33.8 28.8 32 34.2 31.4
DUR 37.2 38.9 11.2 34   HRS 44.6 34.4 35.7 39.5 32.6 34.9 33.7
HRW 45.6 47.5   3   DUR 35.4 23.3 28.8 23.5 29.8 30.8 27.4
2 day totals   2010 # 2009 # HRW 45 40.6   40.5     38.2
  HRS 44.5 241 45.1 313 Fields HRS 149 134 95 104 82 103 95
  DUR 38.2 37 36.7 33 Fields DUR 28 54 37 17 25 22 56
  All Wheat 43.6 284 44.7 367 Fields HRW 6 3 3 1 1 0 1
            Total Fields 183 191 135 122 108 125 152
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DAY 3 2010 SPRING WHEAT CROP TOUR
29-Jul-10                                
Route Class Est. Calc.     Std Hi Lo # 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003
    2010 2010     Dev     Fields              
Purple #1 HRS 52.0 59.4     16.1 78.0 40.0 5 45.0 43.7 45.1 41.6 46.8 48.1 45.7
  DUR                             52.7
  HRW 55.0 66.5           2       45.5      
Green #2 HRS   51.8     8.5 68.6 38.3 9 46.8 41.9 42.1 39.2 35.5 51.3 38.8
  DUR                 24.3     35.2     35.2
  HRW                              
Yellow #3 HRS 48.8 46.2     9.6 53.5 27.0 8 46.5 47.2 46.3 34.6 38.3 42.8 47.2
  DUR 37.0 35.0             1.0 32.8         31.2
  HRW                              
Orange #4 HRS 51.0 56.6     18.4 77.7 33.8 4 44.5 40.5 32.6 34.9   42.7 35.8
  DUR   34.5           1           46.8 31.7
  HRW                              
Red #5 HRS   50.3     7.0 59.3 43.1 4 59.3 45.7 52.5 43.9 36.6 50.7 38.9
  DUR                              
  HRW                              
Pink #6 HRS 49.3 53.8     10.0 67.0 41.6 6 54.3 38.1 45.0 32.2 37.1 42.2 45.2
  DUR                           18.6  
  HRW                              
Blue #7 HRS 48.1 49.8     10.0 63.7 32.7 9 57.8 49.7 40.5 39.3 35.0 41.5 36.7
  DUR               1              
  HRW                              
Black #8 HRS 48.7 67.8     23.8 87.8 41.4 3 51.0 42.2 43.7 31.2 39.4 42.7 37.3
  DUR                              
  HRW                              
Purple #9 HRS No Route                            
  DUR                              
  HRW                              
Green #10 HRS 41.8 47.6     9.9 62.3 30.6 10 43.0            
  DUR                              
  HRW                              
Yellow #11 HRS 42.2 45.9     6.5 56.3 32.5 13 53.2         41.6  
  DUR 34.0 31.3           1 28.1            
  HRW                              
Orange #12 HRS No Route                   37.1        
  DUR                              
  HRW                              
Red #13 HRS 43.1 45.6     7.2 55.9 37.0 6             52.0
  DUR                             49.2
  HRW                              
Pink #14 HRS 43.3 47.6     4.7 53.0 44.9 3 50.8 46.5 37.1       35.4
  DUR                              
  HRW                   34.4          
Blue #15 HRS No Route               49.4            
  DUR                              
  HRW                              
Black #16 HRS No Route               39.7            
  DUR                              
  HRW                              
                             
  EST. CALC. SD Flds   Weighted Averages
Wt. Avg. 46.1 50.2 11.3 86       2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003
HRS 46.0 50.3 11.1 80   Wt. Avg. 49.7 42.9 42.6 37 37.1 44.5 41.8
DUR 43.5 40.2 13.3 4   HRS 50.2 43.1 42.6 36.7 37.1 44.8 41.8
HRW 55.0 66.5   2   DUR 26.2 32.8       32.7 42.1
            HRW   34.3   45.5      
            Fields HRS 89 83 55 62 66 84 88
            Fields DUR 2 1 0 0 0 2 6
            Fields HRW   1 0 2 0 0 0
            Total Fields 91 85 55 64 66 86 94
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    Yield Potential                  
Weighted Averages     Standard Deviation   Total Fields          
                             
Total 45.2       11.7       370          
                             
HRS 46.0       11.5       321          
                             
DUR 38.4       11.2       41          
                             
HRW 48.4               8          
                             
                             
July 27-29, 2010                          
                             
Overall Weighted Tour Averages                    
  1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
                             
HRS 31.3 32.5 30.5 36.4 34.9 32.0 37.6 38.8 35.5 31.7 37.3 37.7 46.2 46.0
DUR 27.7 26.8 23.2 26.6 28.3 25.4 28.6 29.8 29.6 23.3 29.0 23.7 36.2 38.4
HRW 39.6     46.3     42.8 38.5 31.0 45.3 36.7 43.0 51.3 48.4
                             
All Wheat 30.4 30.8 28.4 34.2 33.5 31.1 35.9 38.1 34.9 31.3 36.3 36.0 45.7 45.2
                             
Fields Surveyed                          
HRS 388 368 316 325 355 316 310 308 305 272 286 346 402 321
DUR 140 132 128 135 113 86 49 71 27 19 38 58 35 41
HRW 3 5 0 0 4 0 1 2 3 3 8 18 21 8
All 531 505 444 460 472 402 360 381 335 294 332 422 458 370
                             
Tour Participants - Breakdown                    
                             
Class   Number Percent                  
Government 9   17     Total = 54          
University   2   4                    
Media   4   7                    
Grain   10   19                    
Milling   17   31                    
Baker   4   7                    
Producer   3   6                    
Other   5   9                    

 

2010 Wheat Quality Council
Hard Spring Wheat & Durum Tour Completed
 

Summary by Ben Handcock, Executive Vice President 

The Wheat Quality Council hard spring and durum tour was conducted July 26-29 in North Dakota plus parts of South Dakota and Minnesota. (Tour Map) There were 54 participants this year, and 34 of them were first-timers on this tour. 

The 321 spring wheat fields surveyed averaged 46.0 bushels per acre, almost exactly like  last year’s 46.2 bushels. The 41 durum fields averaged 38.4 bushels, up from 36.2 bushels last year. We evaluated 8 hard winter fields and they averaged 48.4 bushels, down from 51.3 one year ago. 

The average for all 370 field stops was 45.2 bushels per acre compared to 45.7 last year and the five year average of 38.9 bushels. (Tour Results) 

Day One covered the southern half of North Dakota, southwestern Minnesota and northeast/north central South Dakota. Yields were good on all routes again this year.  The highest yielding field was estimated at 80 bushels and the lowest was 18.3, with a day one average of 42.7 bushels versus last year at 45.9 bushels. Tour members going into the far western areas reported the same kinds of yields as the cars elsewhere.  This is the second consecutive year that western producers are getting a fine crop. 

Day Two covered northwest and north central North Dakota. We did find a few more durum fields in the far northwest this year. We had 34 durum stops compared to 28 a year ago. The yields were impressive again as we moved along the routes. We had a high for the day of 73 bushels, a low of 17 with a day two average of 44.6 bushels. Last year these routes averaged 43.5 bushels.  

Day Three concluded the tour by covering north central/north east North Dakota and north west/west central Minnesota. As is usually the case, this was the highest yielding area of the tour. The day three average was estimated at 50.2 bushels, compared to 49.7 one year ago. Our high was 87.8 and our low was 27 bushels per acre. 

This crop is almost an exact replica of the one we witnessed last year. Only two-tenths of a bushel potential yield below last year’s record.  Again I emphasize the word “potential.” 

This is a tremendous crop with very few problems any place as far as disease or pests are concerned.  The burning question is—“Will we have higher protein levels than a year ago?” I would guess that the answer is YES! The crop progress reports all along had the crop later maturing than usual. In the last couple of weeks the crop has matured very rapidly and many areas are starting to harvest or will start in the next week. There have been few super hot days, but something has caused this crop to catch up. There may have been just enough stress to develop more protein than last year. Let’s hope so. 

Again, we really saw little potential difference in this crop from East to West or North to South.  It looked very much like the crop from 2009. In the final analysis, I predict that we will be very close to the final number ND Ag Statistics comes up with.   

I would expect this to be a very good quality crop with high test weights and no vomitoxin issues. I don’t know if we will reach the desired 14-14.5% protein levels, but I’m sure it will be higher than last year. I think most producers applied more nitrogen after last year’s surprises. I think this crop will probably be very manageable by the processors. 

Once again our results are not official.  The North Dakota Ag Statistics Service will publish official results next week.  Watch for them and see how we compare.  We have been very close for the past ten years or so.  We are not as scientific as they are, we simply overwhelm them with the number of fields we visit, and our formula provided by NDSU has been working very well. 

Thanks to all of you who came, drove cars or helped in any way to make this tour a success. The newcomers have told me they learned a great deal, had a lot of fun and would love to do it again.  We look forward to 2011. 

Please mark the Wheat Quality Council 2011 Annual Meeting dates on your calendar.  It should be interesting evaluating all the new wheat lines grown under these conditions.  The dates are February 15-17 at the Embassy Suites in Kansas City.